EMerging Equity
Slowdown
South Korean ETF Weekly Outflow Reaches Most On Record Amid Tensions With North, EM Rout
The largest exchange traded fund (ETF) that tracks South Korean equities, The iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF, just saw the largest weekly outflow since its inception back in 2000 as a rout in emerging markets deepens, oil prices continue to fall, concerns about the U.S. Fed hiking interest rates, and as tensions grow in the Korean peninsula between North and South Korea. … Continue reading
Kazakhstan’s Currency Falls By A Record 23% As It Shifts To A Free Float
Kazakhstan’s currency fell by a record 23 percent in trade on Thursday after the country abandoned control of its exchange rate, as it became the latest emerging market to scrap efforts to prop up its currency before the U.S. Federal Reserve hikes interest rates. Kazakhstan is shifting to a free float of its currency and will pursue an inflation-targeting monetary … Continue reading
Yuan Contagion: Vietnam’s Central Bank Devalues Currency For Third Time In 2015
Vietnam’s Central bank has devalued the nation’s currency on Wednesday for the third time this year and widened the its trading band, in the latest sign of stress in Asian exchange rates following a move last week by China to devalue its currency. The State Bank of Vietnam weakened its currency reference rate by 1 percent and increased the … Continue reading
Can China’s Currency Devaluation Tackle Secular Stagnation?
By Andrew Sheng and Xiao Geng Secular stagnation is looming worldwide, and China is no exception. Globally, the unprecedented monetary and fiscal stimulus following the 2008 financial crisis has caused debt, equity, and property prices to peak, even as trade and investment decline; all of this has depressed demand, economic growth, and inflation. For China, … Continue reading
China’s Growth May Have Only Clocked 6.3% In First Half, Full Year At 6.6% — Bloomberg Survey
China’s economy may not be expanding as much as we think and slower than its official data may suggest, according to a recent Bloomberg survey, which is helping to explain why policy makers in the nation have stepped up stimulus efforts and devalued the nation’s currency in a move to boost exports via a weaker yuan. According … Continue reading
Mohamed El-Erian: Oil’s New Normal
By Mohamed A. El-Erian Oil prices have been heading south again, with a barrel of US crude recently falling below $42 – the lowest level since March 2009, the nadir of the global financial crisis. And, while last year’s sharp price drop was heavily influenced by two large supply shocks, the current decline also has an … Continue reading
Moody’s Cuts India’s 2015 GDP Growth Forecast To 7% Amid Below-Normal Monsoon
Moody’s Investors Service lowered India’s economic growth forecast to 7 percent for 2015, from its previous estimate of 7.5 percent, as it believes that below normal monsoon rainfall will offset higher government spending and cautioned that further risks to growth stems from a slow pace of reforms. “We have revised our GDP growth forecast down to … Continue reading
Collateral Damage: Dollar Strength And Emerging Markets’ Growth
By Pablo Druck, Nicolas Magud, Rodrigo Mariscal The strength of the US dollar can impact the economic activity in emerging economies in various ways. This column argues that appreciation of the dollar mitigates the impact of real GDP growth in emerging markets. The main transmission channel is through an income effect. As the dollar appreciates, commodity … Continue reading
China’s Stock Index Has Just Made Its Best Week In 2 Months While Yuan Volatility Shakes The Markets
China’s benchmark stock index has just made its biggest weekly gain in two months. Investors bet that the weaker yuan will help to boost the economy. The Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.3% at the close today and this week the index advanced by 5.9%. The yuan lost 3% for the week as a result of Tuesday’s surprise devaluation. Gerry Alfonso, a sales trader at Shenwan … Continue reading
Asset-Price Inflation Is Entering Its Last Dangerous Phase
By Brendan Brown Asset price inflation, a disease whose source always lies in monetary disorder, is not a new affliction. It was virtually inevitable that the present wild experimentation by the Federal Reserve — joined by the Bank of Japan and ECB — would produce a severe outbreak. And indications from the markets are that the … Continue reading
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