EMerging Equity
interest rates
Why The U.S. Dollar Could Drop Up To 20% Following A Fed Rate Hike – OpEd
As the U.S. Federal Reserve prepares for the first time in a decade to increase its borrowing costs, currency market participants are buying into the dollar, seeking to sell at its highest value, which is, as history shows, is just before the actual tightening move. . By Kristian Rouz, Sputnik News After a year of gains, propelled … Continue reading
Asian Financial Crisis Redux?: Is Malaysia Set To Introduce Capital Controls, Currency Peg?
In July 1997, during the dawn of the Asian Financial Crisis, the Malaysian ringgit was heavily traded by speculators. The overnight rate jumped from under 8 percent to over 40 percent. This led to rating downgrades and a broad selloff of its stock and currency markets. By the end of 1997, Malaysia’s ratings had fallen many notches from investment grade … Continue reading
Collateral Damage: Dollar Strength And Emerging Markets’ Growth
By Pablo Druck, Nicolas Magud, Rodrigo Mariscal The strength of the US dollar can impact the economic activity in emerging economies in various ways. This column argues that appreciation of the dollar mitigates the impact of real GDP growth in emerging markets. The main transmission channel is through an income effect. As the dollar appreciates, commodity … Continue reading
Mexico, Colombia Join The “Fragile Five”
Mexico and Colombia have now joined the “fragile five” grouping of emerging market (EM) economies, replacing India and Brazil, according to JPMorgan, the Financial Times (FT) reports. The two Latin American nations will now join Turkey, South Africa, and Indonesia to form the group of EM countries seen as the most overdependent on volatile foreign investment flows. In August 2013, as … Continue reading
A Rush Before The Fed — Why Have EM’s Issued So Many Bonds In Foreign Currencies?
By Erik Feyen, Swati Ghosh, Katie Kibuuka, and Subika Farazi In the wake of the Global Crisis, various developed economies pursued unprecedented, extraordinary monetary policies (EMPs) to rekindle domestic economic growth and battle disinflationary pressures. This was done mainly via (promises of future) ultra-low policy rates and large-scale asset purchasing programmes (LSAPs) designed to lower long-term … Continue reading
Asset-Price Inflation Is Entering Its Last Dangerous Phase
By Brendan Brown Asset price inflation, a disease whose source always lies in monetary disorder, is not a new affliction. It was virtually inevitable that the present wild experimentation by the Federal Reserve — joined by the Bank of Japan and ECB — would produce a severe outbreak. And indications from the markets are that the … Continue reading
Capital Controls: Is There A War On Cash? If So — Why Now?
By Charles Hugh Smith You’ve probably read that there is a “war on cash” being waged on various fronts around the world. What exactly does a “war on cash” mean? It means governments are limiting the use of cash and a variety of official-mouthpiece economists are calling for the outright abolition of cash. Authorities are … Continue reading
Latin American Currencies In ‘Eye Of Storm’, Could Fall 10% In Coming Weeks, SocGen Warns
Latin American currencies are in the ‘eye of the storm’ as currencies of Brazil, Mexico, and Chile could fall as much as 10 percent in the next few weeks amid tumbling commodity prices, growth concerns in China, renewed Fed fears, and a deterioration of domestic fundamentals, Societe Generale (SocGen) said in a bearish report published on Tuesday. SocGen is advising … Continue reading
China May Join Zero Interest Rate Club As GDP Is Slowing To 4% To 5%, Oxford Economics Says
China, the world’s second-largest economy, could be the next country to join the zero interest rate club, according to Oxford Economics. “There is a risk that Chinese short-term rates will approach the zero ‘lower bound’ by 2016,” said Adam Slater, an economist at Oxford, in a research note on Tuesday. Oxford’s Slater believes that China’s economic … Continue reading
Emerging Market Rate Cutting Cycle Nearing An End, Capital Economics Says
The interest rate cutting cycle in emerging market (EM) nations is nearing an end, Capital Economics says. So far in July, more EM Central Banks have hiked interest rates than have cut rates – which is the first time that this has happened since in December 2014. Capital Economics says that they expect to see … Continue reading
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