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China’s Central Bank Will Need To Cease Forex Interventions By December, Rabobank Says
China’s Central Bank, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC), will be forced to refrain from supporting the nation’s currency — the yuan — by early December and allow for the currency to decline, due to a strain on its foreign exchange reserves, according to Rabobank, Bloomberg reports. China will have to keep at least $2.7 trillion … Continue reading
China’s Road To Recovery Brings Emerging Market Turmoil
By Miguel Ferreyra de Bone Following the decision of the Chinese government to trim interest rates and adjust the requisites of bank reserves for commercial banks, we are starting to see some improvement from the 20% loss in the Shanghai stock exchange last week. More losses in emerging markets should be expected, however. The financial turmoil that the … Continue reading
Washington’s Financial/Currency War On China: Eclipsing Of The Dollar By The Yuan – OpEd
By Mahdi Darius Nazemroaya The Chinese are in the process of displacing the monopoly of the US dollar. They are dropping their US Treasury bonds, stockpiling gold reserves, and opening regional distribution banks for their own national currency. This will give them easier access to capital markets and insulate them from financial manipulation by Washington and … Continue reading
Can China’s Currency Devaluation Tackle Secular Stagnation?
By Andrew Sheng and Xiao Geng Secular stagnation is looming worldwide, and China is no exception. Globally, the unprecedented monetary and fiscal stimulus following the 2008 financial crisis has caused debt, equity, and property prices to peak, even as trade and investment decline; all of this has depressed demand, economic growth, and inflation. For China, … Continue reading
Which Countries Are Most Exposed To China’s Currency Devaluation?
By Alex Christensen China’s decision to let the yuan depreciate last week came for a number of reasons, including being a needed boost for Chinese export industries. But there are two sides to every currency swing, as the following countries are quickly learning. Did China devalue its currency or liberalize its currency market when it suddenly … Continue reading
Asian Financial Crisis Redux?: Is Malaysia Set To Introduce Capital Controls, Currency Peg?
In July 1997, during the dawn of the Asian Financial Crisis, the Malaysian ringgit was heavily traded by speculators. The overnight rate jumped from under 8 percent to over 40 percent. This led to rating downgrades and a broad selloff of its stock and currency markets. By the end of 1997, Malaysia’s ratings had fallen many notches from investment grade … Continue reading
Regional Impact Of Renminbi Depreciation: ADB Chief Economist Shang-Jin Wei
The move by People’s Bank of China’s (PBoC) this week to loosen the renminbi (RMB) exchange rate, inducing a depreciation of the RMB against the US dollar by 3.5% in two days, has sparked intense debate among economists, pundits and policymakers. Does the depreciation show the People’s Republic of China (PRC) is moving against or … Continue reading
China’s Stock Index Has Just Made Its Best Week In 2 Months While Yuan Volatility Shakes The Markets
China’s benchmark stock index has just made its biggest weekly gain in two months. Investors bet that the weaker yuan will help to boost the economy. The Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.3% at the close today and this week the index advanced by 5.9%. The yuan lost 3% for the week as a result of Tuesday’s surprise devaluation. Gerry Alfonso, a sales trader at Shenwan … Continue reading
Asset-Price Inflation Is Entering Its Last Dangerous Phase
By Brendan Brown Asset price inflation, a disease whose source always lies in monetary disorder, is not a new affliction. It was virtually inevitable that the present wild experimentation by the Federal Reserve — joined by the Bank of Japan and ECB — would produce a severe outbreak. And indications from the markets are that the … Continue reading
Currency War Intensifies As China Devalues Yuan For Third Day In A Row
China’s Central Bank, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC), has further devalued the yuan on Thursday for a third day in a row — following a surprise “one-time devaluation” announced by the Central Bank on Tuesday — which is heating up what appears to be a currency war that is continuing to rattle markets. . On Thursday, the PBOC set the … Continue reading
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